April 30 Tuesday BASKETBALL PICKπ
WHO CASHED LAST NIGHTS LA DODGERS/ARIZONA OVER 10???π°π°π°
Last night we cashed out on that over 10 pick I sent you guy last night, onto TUESDAY GAMES! BASKETBALL FOR NOW, BASEBALL FOR LATER.
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PACERS (-4) over Milwaukee Bucks
(3-UNITS)π°π°π°
6:30pm PST
IF IT AIN'T BROKE, DON'T FIX IT!π―
How in the hell do you not take this team to finish it off here. Sadly, the Bucks postseason has been decimated by injuries and lack of communication with Doc Rivers in the locker room and the fact that the Pacers are 7-2 against them in their last 9 meetings, (going 6-3 ATS)π is in their head, and we saw Bobby Portis get ejected in their last game in Indiana which shows frustration.
Kris Middleton can't carry this team on his own and we've seen that as he is doing all he can to keep his team alive in this series. But without Lillard who is not 100% I don't see this Bucks team winning this game. Bad break for this team and remember, the Pacers have averaged 124 ppg in the last three games since that Game 1 loss in Milwaukee where they only scored 94 points when Damien Lillard went off for 35 points in the first half and was playing at 100%. They have defeated the Bucks by an average of 11 ppg in those last three games as well. Look for the momentum to continue here for Indiana and close out the series, despite Scott Foster being the ref as he does favor home teams in this postseason. I would be shocked if the Bucks come away with a cover or win here. Keep in mind also, I do favor the OVER in elimination games, but the number keeps dropping which favors my FAV/UNDER algorithm, despite over 80% tickets on the OVER.
That's a sign that the Pacers should do well tonight. This reminds me of the Thunder/Pelicans game from lastnight, except the Bucks aren't going to get swept. But it is the same scenario with Zion being OUT and Giannis Antetokounmpo being OUT here, and perhaps Damien Lillard again. NOTE: The Pacers are 10-0 to the UNDER since December 2023 with rest when they shot at least 46% last game on threes. Either way, I think the Pacers cover this game comfortably.
ENJOY the GAMES EVERYONE !! π€
πMain Points and Summary:
Bucks' Injuries and Disadvantage: The Bucks are missing key players ( Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard) and are struggling with team chemistry.
Pacers' Recent Dominance: Indiana has won 7 out of their last 9 meetings with Milwaukee, including the last 3 games by an average of 11 points.
Favorable Pacers Trends: The Pacers have been good defensively under these circumstances (10-0 record) and their strong 3-point shooting (46% last game) fits a historical under trend.
PACERS (-4) over Milwaukee Bucks
April Performance and Profitsπ
Updated April 30th 2024 || YTD +165.97u