Monday NFL - Cowboys vs Bengals || Porter Picks💪
NFL MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SELECTION
Horrific football weekend overall as this was our FIRST LOSING football weekend in both College & Pro since early September. Will look to turn that around quickly, hopefully with a victory tonight! Last year we CASHED over 67% in BOWL SEASON including a big wager on Michigan in the National Championship and I expect us to dominate this year once again! LET'S WIN!!
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DALLAS COWBOYS (+5) (-105) over Cincinnati Bengals
(4-UNITS) 💰 💰 💰 💰
OVER 49.5 (-110)
(3-UNITS) 💰 💰 💰
5:15pm PST
The Cowboys have won and covered their last two games with Cooper Rush at QB. Obviously the whole world will side with Joe Burrow and this offense to go into Dallas and win. However, those guys don't play defense and this Bengals defense is atrocious and one of the worst units in the entire NFL. Now they lost middle linebacker Logan Wilson to a season ending injury as he was the quarterback of this defense. With that being said, the Cowboys should be able to move the football on this defense as the Bengals have allowed over 35 ppg in their last three games which have all resulted in losses. That's not a team you want to lay points with.
The Cowboys are 5-0 straight-up and ATS in their last five games when playing at HOME against the Bengals. Recently in 2022 in a 20-17 Cowboys victory against almost this exact same Bengals offense with Joe Burrow at QB. Believe it or not, Cooper Rush started at QB for Dallas in that game and threw for 235 yards and 1 TD pass with a 95.5 QBR when the Cowboys were a (+7) point underdog! The Bengals defense was much better then than they are now by far!
Keep in mind, when Cooper Rush has been the starting QB, he is 7-3 ATS as an UNDERDOG in his career. Also, the Cowboys are coming into this game with more rest as they last played on Thanksgiving and the Bengals last played in a shootout with the Steelers last Sunday. That is another advantage for Dallas in this game as well. The Cowboys are technically not out of the playoffs just yet as they do have some winnable games remaining on their schedule with the Bengals tonight, Panthers next week, and perhaps the Buccs the week after at home. They will be highly motivated in this game as Parsons has indicated they are still alive and a good football team and will make run into the playoffs.
As for the total, I like the OVER 49.5/50 in this game as this could be a spot where we see Cooper Rush play his best game of his career potentially against this Bengals defense. That would lead to Joe Burrow becoming pass heavy once again as this offense has had to score many points and play catch-up due to the defense allowing so many points early in games. Joe Burrow has averaged 300+ passing yards and 3 TDs in his last three indoor games which is impressive. The Cowboys defense has allowed 27 ppg in their last three games and has been struggling as well.
Referee Scott Novak and his crew will be working this game and he is 8-4-1 ATS to the HOME TEAM this season and 4-0 ATS to the HOME TEAM when listed as the UNDERDOG! He is 5-7-1 to the OVER/UNDER, however, he is 3-0 to the OVER/UNDER in games worked when the ROAD TEAM is listed as the FAVORITE this season! Remember, the Bengals secondary is one of the highest penalized defenses in the NFL. Scott Novak's crew is one of the most high pass interference penalty callers in the NFL and I don't see how that doesn't continue here tonight to set up the Cowboys with ton of opportunities with great field position to score points.
Bottom line, this game has DOG/OVER written all over it and with that being said, siding with Dallas and the OVER is the way to play this game. The OVER is 12-4 to the OVER/UNDER this season on Monday Night Football as well. Look for the Cowboys to come out motivated to play well and for both teams to score a ton of points.
ENJOY the GAME!
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College football is our strongest sport this year
+56.71 units this season, 104 wins, we’re doing everything we can to push a lot further in these upcoming weeks.
VIP Reviews from - October 2024
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